Skip to main content
PT
Pocket ThesisIdeas you can use

INSPECT THE TRANSFORMATION

Every card leaves a trail.

See what the source says, where it says it, what Pocket Thesis changed for teaching, and which parts are original practice material.

Deck
Situational Awareness
Source version
Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead / June 2024 PDF
Mapped cards
52 / 52
01Primary source

Version and exact location stay attached.

02One typed claim

Argument, forecast, uncertainty, or teaching synthesis is labelled.

03Recall contract

The learner explains meaning, not copied keywords.

04Observable apply

A written move or scenario choice can be inspected.

CARD-BY-CARD LEDGER

Inspect all 52 mappings

AH-A

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 3

TEACHING CARD

What situational awareness means here

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

2H-2

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 12, p. 14

TEACHING CARD

What AI can already do

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

3H-3

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 19, p. 29

TEACHING CARD

Learn from patterns

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

4H-4

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 10, p. 12, p. 7, p. 41

TEACHING CARD

A big jump

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

5H-5

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 77, p. 19

TEACHING CARD

Ten times more

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

6H-6

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 19, p. 83

TEACHING CARD

More computing power

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

7H-7

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 22, p. 19, p. 7

TEACHING CARD

Smarter recipes

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

8H-8

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 19, p. 32

TEACHING CARD

Give AI tools

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

9H-9

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 34, p. 35, p. 41

TEACHING CARD

From chat to action

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

10H-10

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 35, p. 41

TEACHING CARD

Being reliable

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

JH-J

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 41

TEACHING CARD

A forecast is not a fact

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

QH-Q

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 41, p. 29

TEACHING CARD

What could break the forecast

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

KH-K

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 7, p. 41

TEACHING CARD

The three drivers

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

AC-A

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 89

TEACHING CARD

Secrets worth protecting

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

2C-2

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 93

TEACHING CARD

Model weights

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

3C-3

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 95

TEACHING CARD

Method secrets

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

4C-4

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 98

TEACHING CARD

Strong attackers

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

5C-5

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 99

TEACHING CARD

Only the access you need

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

6C-6

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 99

TEACHING CARD

Layers of defence

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

7C-7

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 99, p. 148

TEACHING CARD

People and process

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

8C-8

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 106, p. 107

TEACHING CARD

Steering AI

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

9C-9

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 107

TEACHING CARD

Feedback from people

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

10C-10

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 116

TEACHING CARD

Supervising harder work

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

JC-J

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 114

TEACHING CARD

Looking good is not being good

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

QC-Q

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 120, p. 124

TEACHING CARD

Test before trust

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

KC-K

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 124

TEACHING CARD

A safety checklist

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

AS-A

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 126

TEACHING CARD

Why power follows

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

2S-2

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 130

TEACHING CARD

From ideas to the real world

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

3S-3

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 130

TEACHING CARD

A small lead matters

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

4S-4

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 114, p. 136

TEACHING CARD

Racing gets risky

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

5S-5

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 152, p. 153

TEACHING CARD

The author’s plan for other countries

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

6S-6

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 136

TEACHING CARD

Who decides

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

7S-7

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 141, p. 143

TEACHING CARD

Governments step in

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

8S-8

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 151

TEACHING CARD

Rules move slowly

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

9S-9

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 148

TEACHING CARD

Chains of responsibility

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

10S-10

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 159, p. 41

TEACHING CARD

Error bars and a best guess

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

JS-J

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 83, p. 141

TEACHING CARD

Clues worth watching

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

QS-Q

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 162, p. 164

TEACHING CARD

The Appendix numbers

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

KS-K

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 160, p. 159

TEACHING CARD

The author’s last word

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

AD-A

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 46, p. 53

TEACHING CARD

AI builds AI

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

2D-2

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 50, p. 47, p. 53

TEACHING CARD

AI helps researchers

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

3D-3

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 50, p. 53

TEACHING CARD

Many digital workers

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

4D-4

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 50, p. 56

TEACHING CARD

Working in parallel

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

5D-5

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 53, p. 56

TEACHING CARD

Bottlenecks

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

6D-6

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 75

TEACHING CARD

Chips

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

7D-7

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 78, p. 75

TEACHING CARD

Data centers

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

8D-8

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 83, p. 77

TEACHING CARD

Electricity

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

9D-9

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 85

TEACHING CARD

The grid

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

10D-10

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 75, p. 41

TEACHING CARD

Money at scale

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

JD-J

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 50, p. 162, p. 164

TEACHING CARD

Training and using

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

QD-Q

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 85, p. 83

TEACHING CARD

Software is fast, steel is slow

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

KD-K

SOURCE LOCATION

Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead

p. 75

TEACHING CARD

Track the buildout

Checking this browser’s delayed-recall queue…

Full framework section ledger

Part I · Counting the OOMs Taught with explicit forecast and uncertainty labels.

Part II · Intelligence Explosion Taught as the author’s forecast, with bottlenecks preserved.

Part III · Challenges Security, alignment, power, and policy claims retain argument/opinion labels.

Appendix Used only for the author’s rough compute assumptions.